SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
17.76% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( -0.05) | 60% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.19) | 47.81% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( 0.17) | 69.99% ( -0.18) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( 0.1) | 40.61% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.8% ( 0.09) | 77.2% ( -0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.08) | 15.52% ( -0.09) |
