Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
