MX23RW : Tuesday, August 9 19:38:20
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawReal Sociedad
40%24.23%35.77%
Both teams to score 60.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85%42.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45%64.55%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82%21.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95%54.06%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72%57.28%
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 40%
    Real Sociedad 35.77%
    Draw 24.23%
Sturm GrazDrawReal Sociedad
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.77%

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