Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for La Fiorita had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest La Fiorita win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coleraine in this match.
