MX23RW : Wednesday, May 31 18:16:36
SM
Europa League final: 43 mins
LL
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
BayArena
RL
B. Leverkusen
0 - 0
Roma

Hincapie (45+3'), Palacios (56'), Bakker (70'), Diaby (90'), Tapsoba (90+7'), Alonso (90+8'), Frimpong (90+10')
FT

Ibanez (70'), Cristante (89'), Abraham (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRoma
45.53% (0.07 0.07) 27.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 27.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.7% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (0.158 0.16)57.05% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (0.127 0.13)77.94% (-0.12799999999999 -0.13)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.10599999999999 0.11)25% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (0.14899999999999 0.15)59.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.067 0.07)36.4% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.067 0.07)73.19% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 45.52%
    Roma 27.4%
    Draw 27.06%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Roma 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 FC Koln
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union SG 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 0-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
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Premier League Table
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CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
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3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725
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