Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Roma |
45.53% ( 0.07) | 27.07% ( -0.05) | 27.4% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.7% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.95% ( 0.16) | 57.05% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( 0.13) | 77.94% ( -0.13) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0.11) | 25% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% ( 0.15) | 59.65% ( -0.15) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.6% ( 0.07) | 36.4% ( -0.07) |