SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
34.6% ( -0.26) | 25.08% ( -0) | 40.32% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.74% ( -0.02) | 46.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( -0.02) | 68.55% ( 0.02) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0.16) | 25.9% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.11% ( -0.22) | 60.89% ( 0.22) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( 0.12) | 22.81% ( -0.12) |
