SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
33.07% ( -0.01) | 22.34% ( -0.01) | 44.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.49% ( 0.03) | 33.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.69% ( 0.04) | 55.31% ( -0.04) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 0.01) | 20.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.62% ( 0.02) | 53.38% ( -0.02) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.02) | 15.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.22% ( 0.03) | 44.78% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.51% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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