SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
50.26% ( -0.41) | 24.23% ( 0.16) | 25.51% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.46) | 47.1% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0.43) | 69.34% ( 0.43) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.34) | 18.77% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.83% ( -0.57) | 50.17% ( 0.57) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.03) | 32.6% ( 0.04) |
