Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for NEC had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitesse in this match.
