SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
71.4% ( 0.01) | 16.6% ( -0) | 12% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.93% ( -0.01) | 34.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.06% ( -0.01) | 55.94% ( 0.01) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.58% ( -0) | 8.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.76% ( -0) | 29.23% ( 0) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% ( -0.02) | 39.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.47% ( -0.02) | 76.52% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 5.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.07% Total : 71.39% | 1-1 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.6% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 5 | 36 | 33 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 9 | 26 | 26 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 12 |
| 12 | Ajax | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 8 |
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