SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
56.49% ( -0.23) | 22.4% ( 0.17) | 21.1% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( -0.7) | 43.71% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( -0.69) | 66.1% ( 0.68) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( -0.31) | 15.28% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.01% ( -0.59) | 43.99% ( 0.59) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( -0.35) | 34.64% ( 0.34) |
