SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
73.49% ( -0.07) | 16.8% ( 0.08) | 9.72% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.69% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.11% ( -0.39) | 41.89% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( -0.39) | 64.29% ( 0.4) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.09% ( -0.12) | 9.91% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.18% ( -0.27) | 32.82% ( 0.28) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.72% ( -0.27) | 49.28% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.84% ( -0.19) | 84.16% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 73.47% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.8% | 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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