SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Heracles | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Telstar | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Jong PSV | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong PSV |
60.38% ( 0.05) | 21.1% ( -0.02) | 18.51% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( 0.02) | 41.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( 0.02) | 64.01% ( -0.01) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( 0.02) | 13.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.74% ( 0.04) | 40.25% ( -0.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.02) | 36.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.13% ( -0.02) | 72.87% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.71% 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 83 | 32 | 51 | 72 |
| 2 | Heracles | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 36 | 51 | 67 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Willem II | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 52 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 47 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 47 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 46 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 43 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 42 |
| 12 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | Jong AZJong AZ | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 41 |
| 14 | Roda JC | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 35 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 31 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 31 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 75 | -33 | 30 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 |
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