SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | TOP Oss | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Willem II | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | MVV Maastricht | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Dordrecht |
59.69% ( 0.24) | 21.22% ( -0.1) | 19.09% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.23) | 41.2% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.4% ( 0.24) | 63.6% ( -0.24) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( 0.15) | 13.44% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.3) | 40.41% ( -0.3) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.01) | 35.23% ( 0.01) |
