Aug 12, 2022 at 7pm UK at Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Roda JC
1 - 0
Jong Ajax
Vente (67' pen.)
Lambrix (81'), Yayi Mpie (90+2'),
de Boer (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jermoumi (85'), Fitz-Jim (90+3')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and Jong Ajax.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong Ajax |
49.74% ( -0.01) | 22.06% ( 0) | 28.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.82% ( 0) |
| 65.11% ( 0) | 34.89% ( -0) |
| 43.13% ( 0) | 56.87% ( -0) |
| 85.58% ( -0) | 14.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.01) | 42.35% ( 0.01) |
| 75.74% ( 0.01) | 24.26% ( -0.01) |
