Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
