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Oct 15, 2021 at 7pm UK at De Toekomst
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 11
Jong Ajax
3 - 1
Jong Utrecht
Unuvar (25', 77'), Douglas (88')
Unuvar (34'), Warmerdam (66'), Llansana (71'), Douglas (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balk (12')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Jong FC Utrecht.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawJong FC Utrecht
49.23%22.22%28.56%
Both teams to score 64.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63%35.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.6%57.41%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24%14.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99%43.02%
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36%58.64%
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 49.23%
    Jong FC Utrecht 28.56%
    Draw 22.22%
Jong AjaxDrawJong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 3.59%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-1 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.56%

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Eerste Divisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Heracles34234792415173
3Almere CityAlmere City34196950371363
4Willem II33178859352459
5VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo34158115247553
6MVV MaastrichtMVV33165126058253
7NAC BredaNAC Breda33164135656052
8FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven34149115351251
9De GraafschapDe Graafschap34137145648846
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag341210124349-646
11TelstarTelstar341210123549-1446
12Jong AZJong AZ34128145453144
13Roda JC34126164348-542
14Jong PSVJong PSV33118145556-141
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax331010136365-240
16Helmond SportHelmond34108163351-1838
17Dordrecht3496193657-2133
18Den BoschDen Bosch34103214479-3533
19TOP OssOss3495204168-2732
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht3365223159-2823
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