Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
