Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
