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Nov 27, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
NAC Breda
1 - 0
Helmond
Adilehou (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Helmond Sport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawHelmond Sport
65.1%19.74%15.16%
Both teams to score 52.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49%41.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09%63.91%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02%11.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.6%37.4%
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93%40.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28%76.71%
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 65.09%
    Helmond Sport 15.16%
    Draw 19.74%
NAC BredaDrawHelmond Sport
2-0 @ 10.8%
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.2%
5-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 65.09%
1-1 @ 9.32%
0-0 @ 4.8%
2-2 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.74%
0-1 @ 4.39%
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-2 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 15.16%

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Eerste Divisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Heracles19142356233344
2PEC Zwolle18132344212341
3MVV MaastrichtMVV1910453428634
4FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven199643124733
5Almere CityAlmere City1910273025532
6VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo199552927232
7Willem II198652821730
8Jong AZJong AZ198473024628
9Roda JC197482827125
10De GraafschapDe Graafschap207493132-125
11TelstarTelstar196761825-725
12NAC BredaNAC Breda207492734-725
13Jong PSVJong PSV196673131024
14Jong AjaxJong Ajax205873436-223
15ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag206592331-823
16Helmond SportHelmond2062121734-1720
17Den BoschDen Bosch1961122737-1019
18Dordrecht1954102336-1319
19TOP OssOss1953111931-1218
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht1943121932-1315
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