Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
