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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark
UB
Astoria Walldorf
0 - 4
Union Berlin

Carl (60'), Grimmer (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Knoche (29' pen.), Becker (38'), Leite (41'), Haberer (80')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Astoria Walldorf and Union Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Astoria Walldorf 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Astoria Walldorf had a probability of 3.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.77%) and 0-4 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.48%), while for an Astoria Walldorf win it was 1-0 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Astoria WalldorfDrawUnion Berlin
3.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01) 9.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 86.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 36.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.57% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)54.06%
Astoria Walldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.52% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)61.47% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.61% (-0.017899999999999 -0.02)91.38% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.99% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Astoria Walldorf 3.56%
    Union Berlin 86.95%
    Draw 9.48%
Astoria WalldorfDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 3.56%
1-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.08%
2-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 9.48%
0-2 @ 13.79%
0-3 @ 13.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 10.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-5 @ 6.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-6 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-6 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-7 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 86.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Astoria Walldorf 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Astoria Walldorf 1-3 Hannover
Saturday, August 16 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 4-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
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