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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
FL
Union Berlin
4 - 2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Freiburg

Union Berlin and Freiburg look set to play out a cagey draw in the German capital as both sides aim to avoid defeat and maintain their top-four bids. Although Union have stuttered in recent weeks, Fischer's men are expected to extend their unbeaten run on home soil to 19 matches with a hard-fought draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
49.53%26.51%23.96%
Both teams to score 46.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.77%57.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92%78.08% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81%23.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92%57.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49%39.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8%76.2% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 49.52%
    Freiburg 23.96%
    Draw 26.5%
Union BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 13.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.52%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 9.16%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 23.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Sunday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Tuesday, April 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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