SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
60.16% ( 0.06) | 21.67% ( -0.02) | 18.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.05) | 44.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.05) | 67.06% ( -0.04) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.63% ( 0.06) | 42.37% ( -0.06) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -0) | 38.29% ( 0.01) |
