Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Genoa and Benevento.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Modena | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Pisa 1-0 Benevento
Saturday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bari | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Benevento | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brescia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Benevento |
32.16% ( 0.79) | 26.13% ( 0.4) | 41.71% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( -1.41) | 51.44% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -1.24) | 73.25% ( 1.24) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( -0.17) | 29.95% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.94% ( -0.21) | 66.06% ( 0.21) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -1.21) | 24.41% ( 1.21) |
