Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Ternana win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
