Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and Rosario Central.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
