Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
