Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
