Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
