Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
