Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldosivi win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldosivi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldosivi would win this match.
