SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Internacional | 13 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
48.89% ( -0.6) | 26.64% ( 0.22) | 24.47% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.69% ( -0.49) | 57.31% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% ( -0.39) | 78.14% ( 0.39) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.48) | 23.51% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.7) | 57.55% ( 0.7) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( 0.08) | 39.08% ( -0.08) |
