Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
