Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
