Athletico Paranaense will have to throw caution to the wind in a bid to gain a foothold in the final, but their desperate need for goals could leave them exposed defensively, and we think that will allow Atletico Mineiro to ease to a comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
