Corinthians have been well composed defensively at home and should see a lot of the ball this weekend against a side who may not be as ambitious as they were the last time these teams faced each other, especially seeing as El Paranaense still have the Copa do Brasil to play for in December.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
