Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
