Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
