SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
54.3% ( 0) | 23.72% ( -0) | 21.98% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( 0.01) | 70.5% ( -0.01) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( 0) | 17.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.01) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( 0) | 36.42% ( -0) |
