Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.