Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.
