Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
