Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
