Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.
