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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
HL
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim

Two sides who enter the clash in strong form, while boasting respective European hopes. Home advantage could be to Union's benefit, yet whether or not that is enough to secure all three points remains to be seen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
41.27%24.44%34.29%
Both teams to score 59.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63%43.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23%65.76%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89%21.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06%53.94%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29%24.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74%59.25%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 41.27%
    Hoffenheim 34.29%
    Draw 24.43%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.82%
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 41.27%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.29%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern33208590375368
2Borussia DortmundDortmund32214778423667
3RB Leipzig33196860392163
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin33178850381259
5Freiburg3317885042859
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen321471155441149
7Wolfsburg3313101056461049
8Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt331211105651547
9Mainz 05Mainz32129115149245
10FC Koln331012114852-442
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32109134853-539
12Werder Bremen33106175163-1236
13Hoffenheim33105184756-935
14Augsburg3297164258-1634
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum3395193772-3532
16Schalke 04Schalke33710163367-3431
17Stuttgart32611154055-1529
18Hertha Berlin3368194068-2826
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