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Jan 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK at Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Augsburg
Bebou (38', 44'), Raum (90+3')
Baumgartner (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Augsburg

Upwardly mobile Hoffenheim were in fine form before the break, and there seems no reason why they cannot continue where they left off last year. A greater range of attacking options allied to home advantage makes them strong favourites to return to Bundesliga action with a win - keeping them in the wide-open hunt for a top four place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
57.13%22.31%20.56%
Both teams to score 54.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56%44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.62%66.38%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83%15.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22%43.78%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66%35.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.9%72.1%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 57.13%
    Augsburg 20.56%
    Draw 22.3%
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.53%
3-1 @ 6.23%
3-0 @ 5.99%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 57.13%
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 5.58%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 20.56%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20127159184143
2Union BerlinUnion Berlin20133435241142
3Borussia DortmundDortmund20131640261440
4Freiburg2011453231137
5RB Leipzig20106440261436
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20105540291135
7Wolfsburg2086638261230
8Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen208393332127
9Werder Bremen208393139-827
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach207583533226
11FC Koln206863231126
12Mainz 05Mainz207583032-226
13Augsburg2173112636-1024
14Hoffenheim2154122940-1119
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum2061132449-2519
16Hertha Berlin2045112436-1217
17Stuttgart2037102336-1316
18Schalke 04Schalke2026121441-2712
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