Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
