Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
