Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
